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2009:
Student Housing Sector Strikes a Balance Despite Bad Economy
- 050609
National Real Estate Investor
Mar 19, 2009 2:50 PM, By Sibley Fleming
An estimated 140 lenders have stopped making federal student loans
and 40 private lenders have cut back on educational
funding, a new report shows. On the bright side, college enrollment
is expected to increase by 8% over the next four years
and a projected 15 million newly degreed workers will be needed to
place retiring baby boomers through 2012. As a result of
the supply and demand, student-housing prices have held firm and
investment activity is projected to move at a solid clip
this year, according to the report from brokerage Marcus & Millichap.
Indeed, the sector has been booming for most of the decade. Between
2004 and 2007, student-housing transactions rose 63%,
while dollar volume jumped more than 90%. In 2008, transaction
activity, including the $1.2 billion acquisition of GMH
Communities by American Campus Communities, rose by 27%.
Capitalization rates currently average 7.2%, or 50 to 100 basis
points higher than last year’s levels, according to Marcus &
Millichap. Broken down, Class-A cap rates in primary markets have
remained relatively stable during the past 12 months while
Class-C properties in tertiary areas have experienced rises of 100
basis points.
High construction costs coupled with growing demand have kept upward
pressure on rents, which continue to rise and are
currently up 3% from levels in 2008. Vacancy rates, however, have
risen to 7%, up from 6% in 2008. Developers have delivered
57,000 beds since 2000 and another 23,000 beds are slated to come on
line this year.
The off-campus student housing of today is a far cry from the cinder
block dorms of the past, as well as today’s on-campus
housing. Students are treated to amenities such as fitness centers,
movie theaters, tanning beds and study lounges. And
builders are branching out into mixed-use projects such as the
1,758-bed development at the University of Ann Arbor in
Michigan, which is being combined with 16,000 sq. ft. of retail
space.
One bump in the road that may negatively impact the ability of baby
boomers to pay for their children to live in luxurious
student housing is that home equity loans, an oft-used source for
college funding, are harder to get. That will make paying
the tab for higher education even more difficult in the foreseeable
future.
The good news, however, is that rental rates run a wide gamut — from
$300 per bed for modest quarters in tertiary markets, to
$1,500 per bed for well-appointed accommodations in primary markets.